SAG Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

Last year’s nominees: Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal), Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom), Anthony Hopkins (The Father), Gary Oldman (Mank), Steven Yeun (Minari)

This category has two sure things, but beyond that, I don’t think anything is certain. Will Smith (King Richard) and Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog) are at the head of the pack, and I would rank Andrew Garfield (tick, tick…BOOM!) and Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth) next. Theoretically, Peter Dinklage (Cyrano) could round out the group, but he’ll hand to fend off Leonardo DiCaprio (Don’t Look Up), who could easily bump one of these men. Nicolas Cage (Pig) and Joaquin Phoenix (C’mon C’mon) are also still possible, as are Clifton Collins Jr. (Jockey), Mahershala Ali (Swan Song), Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos), Bradley Cooper (Nightmare Alley), or Oscar Isaac (The Card Counter). It’s a dream, but wouldn’t it be wonderful if Jude Hill (Belfast) snuck onto this list?

Current predictions:
Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
Peter Dinklage (Cyrano)
Andrew Garfield (tick, tick…BOOM!)
Will Smith (King Richard)
Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)