SAG Winner Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

The competition: Maria Bakalova’s Kazakh traveler (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm), Glenn Close’s protective grandmother (Hillbilly Elegy), Olivia Colman’s devoted daughter (The Father), Yuh-Jung Youn’s immigrant grandmother (Minari), and Helena Zengel’s quiet orphan (News of the World).

For your information: Close won a SAG Award in 2018 for “The Wife” and in 2004 for the TV movie “The Lion in Winter.” She has seven additional nominations for her film and TV work, though interestingly has never contended as a part of any ensemble. Colman is also nominated this year for her performance in the series “The Crown” and as part of its ensemble, which took home this trophy last year. She was nominated for that role last year as well as for being part of the “Fleabag” ensemble, and also contended in 2018 for her turn in “The Favourite.” This is the first nomination for Bakalova, Youn, and Zengel. Only Youn is nominated as part of her ensemble. All but Zengel are nominated for the corresponding Oscar. Bakalova (as a lead), Close, Colman, and Zengel were all nominated for Golden Globes but lost to Rosamund Pike and Jodie Foster, respectively, while Bakalova defeated all but Zengel at the Critics Choice Awards. All but seven times since the SAG Awards’ inception in 1994, the winner of this award has gone on to win the corresponding Oscar.

Who should win? None of these performances are at the top of my list. I think I’d choose Bakalova or Youn.

Who will win? This should safely be Bakalova, but who knows.