Last year’s nominees: Bombshell, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Parasite
I’m making predictions for SAG, which will announce its picks on Thursday, February 4th, just after the Golden Globe nominations being unveiled on Wednesday, though I may revise them then if there are some big surprises. That said, there’s no corresponding category there. I improved from one out of five two years ago to two out of five this time around, so here’s hoping for a better overall score. I think that The Trial of the Chicago 7 and One Night in Miami are pretty far ahead of everything else. After that, Mank seems probable, as does Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, while Minari and Da 5 Bloods are the more serious choices over other possibilities like The Prom or The Personal History of David Copperfield. While Nomadland and Promising Young Woman have earned considerable praise this season, I’m not sure that they’re contenders in this category since they’re not really ensemble pieces. Both are very possible though!
Current predictions:
Mank
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Minari
One Night in Miami
The Trial of the Chicago 7
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