Golden Globe Musings: Best Motion Picture – Drama

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced shortly, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anything important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that, especially this year, it’s hard to know which films and performances will end up being honored.

Last year’s nominees:
The Irishman
Joker
Marriage Story
1917
The Two Popes

There’s no question that Nomadland will be nominated here. Mank and The Trial of the Chicago 7 seem safe too, as does One Night in Miami. I’m pretty sure that Promising Young Woman will make the cut, though it was briefly going to compete in the comedy races, where it might have had better odds. Da 5 Bloods, The Father, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, News of the World, and Sound of Metal are other possibilities. Watch out also for critics’ favorites from earlier in the year like First Cow, Never Rarely Sometimes Always, and I’m Thinking of Ending Things.

Current predictions:
Mank
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Promising Young Woman
The Trial of the Chicago 7