Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

The competition:
Ana de Armas (Knives Out) plays caregiver Marta Cabrera. This is her first Globe nomination. She is joined by costar Daniel Craig and her film contends for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical.

Awkwafina (The Farewell) plays rebellious granddaughter Billi Wang. This is her first Globe nomination. Her film contends for Best Foreign Film.

Cate Blanchett (Where’d You Go, Bernadette?) plays troubled architect Bernadette Fox. Blanchett has nine previous nominations, winning for “Elizabeth,” “I’m Not There,” and “Blue Jasmine.” She is the lone representative from her film.

Beanie Feldstein (Booksmart) plays committed student Molly Davidson. This is her first Globe nomination. She is the lone representative from her film.

Emma Thompson (Late Night) plays talk show host Katherine Newbury. She has seven previous film nominations, including a win for “Howard’s End.” She also picked up a screenplay prize for “Sense and Sensibility” and has an additional TV bid. She is the lone representative from her film.

Additional notes: None of these actresses are nominated for a SAG Award this year. The winner of this award has gone on to be nominated for an Oscar all but twice in the past fifteen years, with five victors going on to win the Oscar.
Who should win? I really like four of these performances – Blanchett doesn’t belong here for a subpar effort. I’d honestly be thrilled with any of the rest, though I think Awkwafina winning would make me happiest since she’s the only one with Oscar chances and needs the boost.
Who will win? I don’t think Awkwafina has too much competition, but for some reason she doesn’t feel as safe as she should.