My predictions: 3/5, missing “Joker” and “The Two Popes”
Who’s missing? Little Women, Ford v Ferrari, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Bombshell, Uncut Gems, Richard Jewell
It was probably foolhardy for me to predict that “Richard Jewell” would surge here, but I didn’t see the two films that showed up doing so with such force. Joker and The Two Popes, though mostly to be vehicles for acting nominations with this group, scored four nominations each. 1917 only got three, but there wasn’t any expectation of it doing any better since there aren’t many technical categories where it could score. The Irishman netted five nominations, missing out on bids for star Robert De Niro and for its score, but it’s not in trouble. And Marriage Story, despite missing out on acclaim for director Noah Baumbach, was still the nominations leader with six bids. These are all great films, and even though none make my top five, I’m happy with the list. It’s unfortunate that “Little Women” couldn’t snag a spot, and we’ll see if these five make it all the way to Oscar. Three out of five from Netflix (plus one in comedy/musical) is a pretty sizeable victory.
Who will win? I’m going to pick Marriage Story over “The Irishman” and “1917.”
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