Last year’s nominees: Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name), James Franco (The Disaster Artist), Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out), Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour), Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)
Let’s start with the sure things, of which there are three: Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born), Viggo Mortensen (Green Book), and Christian Bale (Vice), whose film seemed like it was peaking too late until it ended up being the top nominations getter at the Golden Globes. Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) should be safe, and it’s anybody’s guess for the last slot. Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate), Lucas Hedges (Boy Erased), and John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman) were all recognized in drama at the Golden Globes, while Robert Redford (The Old Man and the Gun) seems like a stronger threat than either John C. Reilly (Stan and Ollie) or Lin-Manuel Miranda (Mary Poppins Returns), who might also contend in supporting instead. Ethan Hawke (First Reformed) and Ryan Gosling (First Man) both missed out at the Globes but may well be able to score here, though I’m going to go out on a limb and predict Redford for a surprise mention.
Current predictions:
Christian Bale (Vice)
Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)
Robert Redford (The Old Man and the Gun)
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