My predictions: 3/5, missing “Roma” and “Vice”
Who’s missing? BlacKkKlansman, Can You Ever Forgive Me?, A Star is Born, First Reformed, Eighth Grade
From what I can tell, this is only the second time a foreign film has been nominated in this category in recent history, following “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly” eleven years ago, which took home the Best Director prize. That’s likely to be the same way things go for Roma, which wasn’t eligible for the Best Motion Picture – Drama prize due to its being in Spanish and from Mexico. That wasn’t a guaranteed nomination, so it’s a plus for the film. That’s also true for Vice, which made up for its slow awards season start with the highest overall take for a film, earning six bids. The Favourite missed out in the director race but showed up here, which is good, while Green Book scored everywhere it really could have. Rounding out the race is If Beale Street Could Talk, which didn’t do tremendously but earned a very deserved mention in this category. None of the films that missed out are too surprising since they’ll likely show up when there are two categories to fill.
Who will win? Based on its haul, I’ll pick Vice over “The Favourite” for now.
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