My predictions: 3/5, missing Dafoe and Washington
Who’s missing? Ethan Hawke (First Reformed), Ryan Gosling (First Man), Clint Eastwood (The Mule), Chadwick Boseman (Black Panther)
I misheard this category for a second and was shocked to discover that Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) had been snubbed, but of course he wasn’t, and he even got a show of support for his film that critics definitely didn’t deliver. The big snub here is for Hawke, which I’m fine with because I didn’t like the film, but I am annoyed that I only put him in yesterday in favor of someone who did make the cut, John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman), and whose film did very well. I suspect Hawke will still replace him come Oscar time. Lucas Hedges (Boy Erased) is another selection who might not make it to Oscar, but it’s good that the hard-working actor got in for one of his several films this year. Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate) got in with no other support for his film, joining Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born), who also netted himself a nomination for Best Director.
Who will win? I have a feeling that Malek is far out ahead unless Cooper gets pulled along with his film.
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