The competition: Willem Dafoe’s motel manager (The Florida Project), Armie Hammer’s flirtatious student (Call Me By Your Name), Richard Jenkins’ loyal neighbor (The Shape of Water), Christopher Plummer’s self-serving billionaire (All the Money in the World), and Sam Rockwell’s dim-witted cop (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri).
For your information: Plummer won this award in 2011 for “Beginners” and has two other previous nominations. Dafoe was nominated in this category once before for “Shadow of the Vampire.” This is the first nomination for the other three. Hammer, Jenkins, and Rockwell have their films nominated for the top prize.
Who should win? These are all good choices. While I loved Dafoe’s film best, I think I’d choose Jenkins for this particular award, though I’d be fine with any of them winning.
Who will win? The frontrunner throughout this whole awards season has been Dafoe, and while I still believe he’ll win the Oscar (the past two winners of this award has not gone on to win the Oscar the last two years), I think that Plummer will eclipse him here thanks to his quick work in replacing Kevin Spacey and his impressive work at age eighty-seven.
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