SAG Nominees: Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role

My predictions: 4/5, picking Hammer over Carell
Who’s missing? Armie Hammer, Michael Stuhlbarg, Christopher Plummer, Michael Shannon

I’m thrilled - my longshot pick here was right! In a category where three films could have had double nominees, it was Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) who joined costar Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) for a performance I thought was actually very worthwhile and not as part of the awards conversation as it should have been. Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) is alone again without costar Shannon, who I think will show up on the Oscar list anyway. Neither former nominee Hammer nor Stuhlbarg made the cut, which is troubling news for a film that I think will win Best Picture (though it’s not my choice). Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) continues on trucking for what is my favorite film of the year, one which will hopefully crack the top category and other races for the Oscars. And then we have this year’s complete surprise: Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes), repeating a move done by his costar Christian Bale in “The Big Short” from comedy actor at the Globes to the supporting race here. While Carell was good in the film, and certainly better than in “Last Flag Flying,” having him here when leading actress Emma Stone isn’t even in the equation seems strange. All told, this is a fantastic list of performances and I’m very happy with the quality of all of them.

Who will win? I think Dafoe takes it since I can’t imagine who else would.