The competition: The Big Short (Hank Corwin), Mad Max: Fury Road (Margaret Sixel), The Revenant (Stephen Mirrione), Spotlight (Tom McArdle), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Maryann Brandon and Mary Jo Markey)
Previous winners: Whiplash, Gravity, Argo, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, The Social Network, The Hurt Locker, Slumdog Millionaire, The Bourne Ultimatum
My winner: Wild Tales
The facts: Only Mirrione has been nominated before, winning in 2000 for “Traffic” and then cited again for a previous Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu collaboration, “Babel.” Only six films in the past thirty years have won this award without a corresponding Best Picture nomination, and only eight of the past twenty winners have also won Best Picture.
Who should win: I think “Spotlight” deserves this most of all, though I can see a case being made for “The Big Short.”
Who will win: I’m not sure. It’s probably a race between Mad Max: Fury Road and “The Big Short.” I’d love to see “Spotlight” win, but I don’t see it happening.
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