This year, Oscar nominations will be announced on Thursday, January 16th. As a result, most of the corresponding guilds won’t have announced their picks by then, so I’m making predictions in advance without being able to take those into consideration. I’ll be offering detailed predictions in most of the major categories, saving some of the biggest categories for last.
Last year’s nominees: Argo, Django Unchained, Life of Pi, Skyfall, Zero Dark Thirty
This year’s locks: Gravity
Very likely: None
Possible: Star Trek Into Darkness, All is Lost, Rush, Captain Phillips, Man of Steel, Iron Man 3, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, The Great Gatsby
Unlikely: World War Z
The rundown: Unlike Best Sound, this category tends to lean more towards the technical, honoring genre films along with, on average, two Best Picture nominees. I suspect Gravity and Captain Phillips will be those two, and they may be joined by Star Trek Into Darkness, All is Lost, and Rush. Also vying for spots are Man of Steel, Iron Man 3, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, The Great Gatsby, World War Z, and I’m sure many more.
One possible crazy scenario: Best Picture contenders American Hustle and/or The Wolf of Wall Street make the cut in an unexpected field.
Forecasted winner: It has to be Gravity.
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