Oscar Predictions: Best Costume Design

This year, Oscar nominations will be announced on Thursday, January 16th. As a result, most of the corresponding guilds won’t have announced their picks by then, so I’m making predictions in advance without being able to take those into consideration. I’ll be offering detailed predictions in most of the major categories, saving some of the biggest categories for last.

Last year’s nominees: Anna Karenina, Les Miserables, Lincoln, Mirror Mirror, Snow White and the Huntsman

This year’s locks: American Hustle, The Great Gatsby

Very likely: Inside Llewyn Davis, 12 Years a Slave

Possible: Saving Mr. Banks, The Butler, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Unlikely: Rush, The Wolf of Wall Street, Gravity

The rundown: This category tends to reward a good mix of Best Picture nominees and films not nominated in any other race. I’m not sure there are any cases of that this year, but The Great Gatsby and Saving Mr. Banks are most likely to do well here compared to other categories. American Hustle should have no trouble being nominated, and the same is true for Inside Llewyn Davis and 12 Years a Slave. Also in the running are The Butler, The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, and, if voters are thinking creatively, Rush, The Wolf of Wall Street, or even Gravity.

One possible crazy scenario: The Lone Ranger shows up here.

Forecasted winner: This should be The Great Gatsby.