Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Documentary Feature

The competition: 5 Broken Cameras, The Gatekeepers, How to Survive a Plague, The Invisible War, Searching for Sugar Man

Previous winners: Undefeated, Inside Job, The Cove, Man on Wire, Taxi to the Dark Side, An Inconvenient Truth
My winner: All In: The Poker Movie
The facts: There isn’t all that much consistency to this category, which usually rewards nonfiction films about highly relevant, hard-hitting topics of the day. This year, we have two movies about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, one about AIDS, one about military rape, and one about a mysterious musician.
Who should win: I have my own problems with “5 Broken Cameras” and “The Gatekeepers,” neither of which is a terrific film, and I didn’t have a chance to see “How to Survive a Plague.” While I heartily enjoyed “Searching for Sugar Man,” I think that “The Invisible War” is the most well-rounded, engaging, and informative film.
Who will win: Unless the Middle East triumphs, I think that the positivity factor of “Searching for Sugar Man” will lead it to victory over possible winner “The Invisible War.”