Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song

Last year’s nominees: “Jai Ho” (Slumdog Millionaire), ”O Saya…” (Slumdog Millionaire), “Down to Earth” (Wall-E)

This year’s Golden Globe nominees: “I See You” (Avatar), “Winter” (Brothers), “The Weary Kind” (Crazy Heart), “I Want to Come Home” (Everybody’s Fine), “Cinema Italiano” (Nine)

Other contenders: “Take It All” (Nine), “Almost There” (The Princess and the Frog), “All is Love” (Where the Wild Things Are), “You Got Me Wrapped Around Your Little Finger” (An Education), “Trust Me” (The Informant!)

Listen to a number of the eligible songs with this YouTube playlist I put together.

The rundown: There’s an interesting curse which has led the winner of the Golden Globe in this category to be snubbed at the Oscars for the past five years in a row. I think that the tune from “Crazy Heart” will break that trend, though I can’t imagine all five Globe nominees repeating. For the past three years, at least two songs from the same film have been nominated, and I think that will occur again this year, with “Nine” earning the lion’s share of its nods here. It’s hard to believe that both Bono and Paul McCartney won’t make the cut, but it’s very possible. The snub of “The Princess and the Frog” at the Globes didn’t quite add up. Watch out for “Where the Wild Things Are” to upset here because its Globe-nominated score isn’t eligible.

Forecasted winner: “The Weary Kind”