I think this is the hardest category of all to predict. All the comedy/musical categories seem hopelessly devoid of contenders, but this one doesn’t have any sure bets like “Mamma Mia” or “Happy-Go-Lucky.” My best guess, which is hopeless at best, has Dustin Hoffman as the only real secure nominee (Last Chance Harvey). Likely nominees include Ben Stiller (Tropic Thunder), Sam Rockwell (Choke), Javier Bardem (Vicky Cristina Barcelona), and Ricky Gervais (Ghost Town), but I don’t feel good about any of those nominees. Steve Carrell (Get Smart), George Clooney (Burn After Reading), Michael Cera (Nick and Norah’s Infinite Playlist), Brendan Glesson (In Bruges), and James Franco (Pineapple Express) might also make the cut, but this feel like such a randomly assembled list with no frontrunner or buzz-worthy nominees. I expect to be completely surprised here.
Predicted five:
SAM ROCKWELL, CHOKE
RICKY GERVAIS, GHOST TOWN
DUSTIN HOFFMAN, LAST CHANCE HARVEY
BEN STILLER, TROPIC THUNDER
JAVIER BARDEM, VICKY CRISTINA BARCELONA
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