The nominees:
JULIAN SCHNABEL, THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
JASON REITMAN, JUNO
TONY GILROY, MICHAEL CLAYTON
THE COEN BROTHERS, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
PAUL THOMAS ANDERSON, THERE WILL BE BLOOD
My ballot: 1/5, Schnabel
Who should win: Schnabel or the Coen Brothers
Who will win: The pure and simple fact is that the Coen Brothers have never won an Oscar. If they had, this would be completely up for grabs. I do think it will be them taking home this award. The other statistic is that the other four are all first-time nominees, and Schnabel and Anderson may have a good shot at upsetting.
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