The competition: Saoirse Ronan’s young writer in “Atonement”, Julia Roberts’ Texas socialite in “Charlie Wilson’s War”, Amy Ryan’s troubled mother in “Gone Baby Gone”, Cate Blanchett’s take on Bob Dylan in “I’m Not There”, and Tilda Swinton’s corrupt executive in “Michael Clayton”.
For your information: Roberts has been nominated five times and won three times. Blanchett has five previous nominations and a win, plus a second nomination this year. Swinton has one previous nomination, and Ronan and Ryan are first-time nominees.
Who should win: Ronan or Blanchett are pretty much equal on my list.
Who will win: Either Blanchett or Ryan. For the moment, it looks like Ryan at the moment based on her having won about 99% of critics awards.
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