The nominees:
AMY ADAMS, ENCHANTED
NIKKI BLONSKY, HAIRSPRAY
ELLEN PAGE, JUNO
HELENA BONHAM CARTER, SWEENEY TODD
MARION COTILLARD, LA VIE EN ROSE
My predictions: 3/5, putting Cotillard in drama and guessing Laura Linney and Katherine Heigl over Carter.
This is a fine list (still have to see "Sweeney Todd"), but the omissions of Linney and Heigl are puzzling. Linney should have had an easy shot, especially considering co-star Philip Seymour Hoffman got in it the corresponding comedy category. This deals a serious blow to her Oscar chances. And Heigl, who should have easily made it in for the likeable comedy (especially when John C. Reilly got nominated for "Walk Hard") gets nodded for "Grey's Anatomy" which she sucks on when this is clearly where she deserves recognition.
Who will win? Fight to the death between Cotillard and Page. When push comes to shove, I figure Cotillard has the upper hand.
Agreed re: Heigl but she doesn't suck on Grey's far from it. Her characters has been mauled but she has been excellent. Also this is mostly for last season - and she was and is the best thing about the ahow.
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