Final SAG Predictions

The Screen Actors Guild announces their nominations tomorrow morning. Tommy Lee Jones could really use a nomination right about now for "In the Valley of Elah", and I think that he will end up with two tomorrow. Emile Hirsch and Hal Holbrook could also use some love. This may the time where the fifth Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominee becomes clear (Blanchett, Ronan, Ryan, and Swinton seem likely choices), but I have a feeling that whoever gets in here will not make it in at the Oscars and be replaced by someone altogether new. I think that like 2004's "Closer", "Charlie Wilson's War" will be completely snubbed here and then only Philip Seymour Hoffman will bounce back come Oscar time. Best Actress is very important for Laura Linney if she really is going to be a contender, and she may easily replace Keira Knightley. James McAvoy is also vulnerable, and this could be the place that solidifies Viggo Mortensen. I obviously hope that George Clooney and Denzel Washington do not show up here and that this marks an end to their Oscar bids. If "The Great Debaters" makes it in for Best Ensemble, I will be furious (though, again, I have not yet seen the film). I am really pulling for the cast of "Gone Baby Gone" to make it in. Be here tomorrow for reactions.

Best Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture
JAMES MCAVOY, ATONEMENT
TOMMY LEE JONES, IN THE VALLEY OF ELAH
EMILE HIRSCH, INTO THE WILD
JOHNNY DEPP, SWEENEY TODD
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS, THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Alt: GEORGE CLOONEY, MICHAEL CLAYTON

Best Actress in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture
KEIRA KNIGHTLEY, ATONEMENT
JULIE CHRISTIE, AWAY FROM HER
ELLEN PAGE, JUNO
ANGELINA JOLIE, A MIGHTY HEART
MARION COTILLARD, LA VIE EN ROSE

Alt: LAURA LINNEY, THE SAVAGES

Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
CASEY AFFLECK, THE ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES
HAL HOLBROOK, INTO THE WILD
TOM WILKINSON, MICHAEL CLAYTON
JAVIER BARDEM, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
TOMMY LEE JONES, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Alt: PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN, CHARLIE WILSON’S WAR

Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
SAOIRSE RONAN, ATONEMENT
MARISA TOMEI, BEFORE THE DEVIL KNOWS YOU’RE DEAD
AMY RYAN, GONE BABY GONE
CATE BLANCHETT, I’M NOT THERE
TILDA SWINTON, MICHAEL CLAYTON

Alt: CATHERINE KEENER, INTO THE WILD

Best Ensemble Cast in a Motion Picture
ATONEMENT
GONE BABY GONE
JUNO
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
SWEENEY TODD

Alt: BEFORE THE DEVIL KNOWS YOU’RE DEAD